Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000726 0.000831 0.000942 0.001068 0.001206 0.001354 0.001523
2025-01-05 0.000563 0.000707 0.000871 0.001070 0.001303 0.001565 0.001881
2025-01-12 0.000467 0.000627 0.000818 0.001058 0.001351 0.001692 0.002116
2025-01-19 0.000392 0.000559 0.000767 0.001039 0.001383 0.001795 0.002322
2025-01-26 0.000352 0.000528 0.000756 0.001064 0.001462 0.001952 0.002592
2025-02-02 0.000317 0.000499 0.000743 0.001082 0.001532 0.002097 0.002849
2025-02-09 0.000275 0.000456 0.000706 0.001065 0.001552 0.002177 0.003023
2025-02-16 0.000238 0.000415 0.000668 0.001041 0.001560 0.002239 0.003174
2025-02-23 0.000217 0.000395 0.000658 0.001054 0.001616 0.002363 0.003406
2025-03-02 0.000197 0.000375 0.000645 0.001062 0.001664 0.002478 0.003628
2025-03-09 0.000170 0.000341 0.000608 0.001030 0.001655 0.002511 0.003741
2025-03-16 0.000147 0.000309 0.000572 0.000998 0.001642 0.002539 0.003845
2025-03-23 0.000132 0.000290 0.000555 0.000996 0.001671 0.002628 0.004036
2025-03-30 0.000119 0.000274 0.000541 0.000996 0.001705 0.002722 0.004237
2025-04-06 0.000105 0.000255 0.000522 0.000985 0.001721 0.002791 0.004402
2025-04-13 0.000092 0.000236 0.000499 0.000967 0.001725 0.002841 0.004541
2025-04-20 0.000087 0.000231 0.000501 0.000990 0.001792 0.002985 0.004817
2025-04-27 0.000081 0.000224 0.000500 0.001008 0.001851 0.003118 0.005079
2025-05-04 0.000071 0.000208 0.000480 0.000991 0.001854 0.003168 0.005221
2025-05-11 0.000062 0.000192 0.000457 0.000969 0.001847 0.003201 0.005337
2025-05-18 0.000058 0.000186 0.000454 0.000981 0.001895 0.003319 0.005581
2025-05-25 0.000053 0.000179 0.000449 0.000989 0.001937 0.003428 0.005813
2025-06-01 0.000045 0.000163 0.000424 0.000959 0.001914 0.003434 0.005892